Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Consensus Probability
3%
Weak5%
Polymarket4% avg · 6 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 2% | $8K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 10% | $995 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 6% | $673 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 2% | $630 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 2% | $523 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Muchelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0% | $522 | standalone |