ForecastMind

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…

2026

Consensus Probability

8%
Weak5%
Polymarket4% avg · 23 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$13Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$11Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$11Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?39%$9Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?17%$8Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?16%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$5Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$4Kstandalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$909standalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$906standalone
PolymarketWill José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$884standalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$875standalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$702standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%$675standalone
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential… — 8% Consensus | ForecastMind