ForecastMind

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian…

2026

Consensus Probability

5%
Weak5%
Polymarket8% avg · 46 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?4%$146Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3%$58Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?4%$32Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3%$17Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%$14Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?28%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15%$955standalone
PolymarketWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$766standalone
PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?4%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$399standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$331standalone
PolymarketWill Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?16%$259standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$250standalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$244standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$243standalone
PolymarketWill Wolfgang Grozo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$233standalone
PolymarketWill Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$231standalone
PolymarketWill Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$223standalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$215standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$214standalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$214standalone
PolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$211standalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$210standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?5%$209standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$207standalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$207standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$206standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$205standalone
PolymarketWill José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$200standalone
PolymarketWill José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$195standalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$192standalone
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian… — 5% Consensus | ForecastMind