Trump announces end of military operations against…
April
Consensus Probability
32%
Weak23%
Polymarket42% avg · 4 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | 14% | $258K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 51% | $157K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 77% | $35K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | 27% | $17K | standalone |