Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$41K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
33% / 34%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
34%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
19 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $41K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1356657
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