Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Closes October 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on October 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1365866
This event has 89 active outcome markets. Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the f: 76%, Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in th: 63%, turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvi: 42%.
Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round o
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this