ForecastMind
Markets/Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Share on X

Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Closes October 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$207

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $207 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on October 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1365901

Outcome Markets93 markets

This event has 93 active outcome markets. Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the f: 77%, Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in th: 57%, turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvi: 41%.

Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round

0%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this