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Markets/Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?
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Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
94%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

5% / 7%

Spread

2.10pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 23?
100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
53%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?
41%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
33%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?
20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 23?
10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
7%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?
6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 23?
5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 23?
1%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on March 23?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 23?
1%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?
0%

25 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

9% YES

Mar 13, 2026

Current

10% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢

-5.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 94¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly5.5%
½ Kelly2.8%
Buy NO—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 5.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 2.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473203

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