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Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?
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Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$35K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

1.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+81.8pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
28%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
23%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
17%
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
7%
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?
4%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?
4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 23?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 23?
1%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 23?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on March 23?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
0%
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?
0%

30 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-20.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -11.8pp

20% → 8%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

1% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688356

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