Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
0% / 35%
Spread
34.80pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
2026
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+6.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 34.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1536471
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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