Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4.6M
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
77% / 78%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
2026
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Mar 15, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Mar 16, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 18, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Mar 19, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 21, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -29.0pp
53% → 24%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
24% YES (-23.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1536374
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.