Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3.2M
Liquidity
$29K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
2026
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
26% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Biggest move: +23.0pp
25% → 48%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
48% YES (+19.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+9.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1536377
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.