Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$53K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
90% / 91%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
70%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
March
29 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Trough probability
35% YES — lowest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
48%
Mar 15, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
35%
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -53.0pp
88% → 35%
Mar 22, 2026
Peak probability
92% YES — highest in period
Mar 18, 2026
Current
62% YES (-2.5pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $53K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598703
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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