Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.30pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?
March
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
10% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
12% YES (+2.4pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607582
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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