Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Closes March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
87% / 89%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
87%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
March
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
87% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Current
86% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?" at 87% YES / 13% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 87%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 87%, NO 13%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1652071
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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