Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?
Closes March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
March
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+20.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1652078
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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