Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$67K
Liquidity
$277
Bid / Ask
28% / 40%
Spread
12.00pp
Expert Signal
31%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?
April
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -12.0pp
31% → 19%
Mar 22, 2026
Peak probability
36% YES — highest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Current
17% YES (-2.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $67K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1667187
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