Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Knicks (-22.5)
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
91% / 99%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Knicks (-21.5)
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
56%
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: -9.5pp
56% → 47%
Mar 23, 2026
Peak probability
56% YES — highest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Current
47% YES (-9.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-22.5)" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spread: Knicks (-22.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1686692
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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