Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?
Closes March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
March
34 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-10.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688358
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