ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5
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Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

73%YES
27%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

66% / 67%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

73%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 73%99%
Buy YES@ 73¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 27¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 242.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1694582