New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$367K
Bid / Ask
80% / 82%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: +13.0pp
53% → 66%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
66% YES (+13.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711524
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.