ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
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Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Closed March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

39% / 47%

Spread

8.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

39% YES (-3.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 61¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1732553