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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Share on X

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 10:03 PM UTC

Closed March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

16%YES

85%NO

Volume 24h

$56K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

10% / 23%

Spread

13.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Full event →

NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Gian

100%

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants

66%

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

39%

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/

29%

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/

16%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-41.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: -28.0pp

44% → 16%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

16% YES (-28.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 16%99%

Buy YES@ 16¢

Edge

+3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 85¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $56K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1733940

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