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Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?
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Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

5% / 7%

Spread

2.20pp

Expert Signal

5%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Solana dip to $70 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 25?
36%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?
20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
17%
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
16%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?
7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?
5%
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 25?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 25?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
1%
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 25?
0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 25?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 25?
0%
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
0%

31 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

13% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

4% YES — lowest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

12% → 4%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

9% YES (+5.4pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢
Edge

+3.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+3.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1712091

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