Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
FM Estimate
4%Market Price
7%This event has 34 active outcome markets. Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 98%, AfD: 89%, the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S): 88%.
Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in th
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $276 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738480