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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
41%FIS
1ppvs market 42%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -0.9pp below current market price; market at 42% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.2% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.2% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑
-0.9pp
Live compute05:58 AM

Polymarket Price

42%YES
59%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

40% / 46%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

42%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808028

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-7.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: -7.0pp

39% → 32%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

32% YES (-7.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 42%99%
Buy YES@ 42¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 59¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this