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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
54%FIS
1ppvs market 55%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 55% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.2% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.2% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑
-0.8pp
Live compute06:02 AM

Polymarket Price

55%YES
45%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

51% / 58%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808030

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

64% → 55%

Apr 7, 2026

Peak probability

64% YES — highest in period

Apr 7, 2026

Current

55% YES (-8.5pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 55%99%
Buy YES@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this