Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$168K
Liquidity
$79K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $168K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813651
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nat: 97%, Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation: 92%, Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Addres: 88%.
Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the N
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this