Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
28% / 49%
Spread
21.00pp
Expert Signal
30%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 21.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817687
This event has 25 active outcome markets. Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nat: 97%, Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation: 92%, Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nati: 91%.
Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this