Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 15?
Closes April 15, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.1% ↑, ETH +0.7% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
98% / 98%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 15?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 15?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919256
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 15: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 14: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 15?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
96% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
98% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-31.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this