Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?
Closes April 15, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.8pp above current market price; market at 2% may be underpriced with macro signals showing ETH +0.7% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919264
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 15: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 14: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.4pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-25.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this