US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
FM Estimate
17%Market Price
19%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 12 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 87%, April 30: 85%, April 30: 74%.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2002696