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Markets/Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Closes November 7, 2028

Polymarket Price

4%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$54K

Liquidity

$311K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2028

Full event →
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%

36 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 4%99%
Buy YES@ 4¢

-5.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 96¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly5.9%
½ Kelly2.9%
Buy NO—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 5.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $54K has been traded. The market closes on November 7, 2028.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/561261

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