Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692274
This event has 28 active outcome markets. J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run bef: 17%, J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before: 15%, Josh Hawley announce a presidential run befor: 15%.
Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-8.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this