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Markets/Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
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Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

9% / 11%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

10%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692300

Outcome Markets28 markets

This event has 28 active outcome markets. J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run bef: 17%, J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before: 15%, Josh Hawley announce a presidential run befor: 15%.

Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

10%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 90¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this