Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Closes November 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$544
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
9% / 11%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by…
2026
17 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $544 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/919492
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