Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
17% / 24%
Spread
7.40pp
Expert Signal
21%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state…
2026
18 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 7.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/947248
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