Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$134
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
9% / 42%
Spread
33.00pp
Expert Signal
26%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $134 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 33.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/948640
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 65%, Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 57%, Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration: 55%.
Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 20
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this