Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$150K
Liquidity
$24K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish…
2026
60 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 9, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $150K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/954531
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