Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$213K
Liquidity
$73K
Bid / Ask
97% / 98%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
97% YES
Mar 9, 2026
Current
99% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $213K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1534966
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.