EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$60K
Liquidity
$30K
Bid / Ask
56% / 58%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $60K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1747817
This event has 32 active outcome markets. Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?: 97%, Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after laun: 94%.
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: +10.5pp
56% → 67%
Mar 28, 2026
Peak probability
69% YES — highest in period
Mar 29, 2026
Current
57% YES (-9.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this