EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$60K
Liquidity
$27K
Bid / Ask
15% / 16%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $60K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1747838
This event has 32 active outcome markets. Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?: 97%, Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after laun: 94%.
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
41% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Trough probability
19% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -18.5pp
41% → 22%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
19% YES (-3.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this