Markets/Epic Games IPO before 2027?

Epic Games IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 01:41 PM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES

62%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

22% / 31%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-29.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Feb 25, 2026

Trough probability

20% YES — lowest in period

Feb 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

41%

Feb 25, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

45%

Mar 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

36%

Mar 4, 2026

Biggest move: +27.5pp

28% → 56%

Mar 3, 2026

Peak probability

65% YES — highest in period

Feb 25, 2026

Current

27% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 39%99%

Buy YES@ 39¢

Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Epic Games IPO before 2027?" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Epic Games IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1321867