Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
Closed March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$137K
Liquidity
$140K
Bid / Ask
74% / 77%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: +28.0pp
51% → 79%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
90% YES (+11.5pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-8.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $137K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Spread: Lakers (-8.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1720640
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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