Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
35% / 36%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786327
This event has 39 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 62%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 36%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 22%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
75% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
45%
Mar 30, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -18.5pp
75% → 56%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
36% YES (-8.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this