Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Closes May 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$1.0M
Bid / Ask
7% / 8%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2025
9 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Feb 21, 2026
Current
8% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+6.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/566137
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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