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Markets/Will Solana dip to $60 in March?
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Will Solana dip to $60 in March?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$47K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?
27%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
25%
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?
14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?
8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
8%
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?
4%
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
0%

26 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-50.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

3% YES — lowest in period

Mar 16, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

17%

Mar 1, 2026

Biggest move: -38.0pp

54% → 16%

Mar 1, 2026

Current

4% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana dip to $60 in March?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Solana dip to $60 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473209

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