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Markets/Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
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Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

23%YES
77%NO

Volume 24h

$37K

Liquidity

$31K

Bid / Ask

21% / 24%

Spread

3.10pp

Expert Signal

23%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

March

Full event →
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?
27%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
25%
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?
14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?
8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
8%
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?
4%
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
0%

26 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-46.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

74% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

23% YES — lowest in period

Mar 16, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Mar 4, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 15, 2026

Biggest move: -24.5pp

79% → 54%

Mar 4, 2026

Peak probability

92% YES — highest in period

Mar 1, 2026

Current

28% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 23%99%
Buy YES@ 23¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.0%
Buy NO@ 77¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana dip to $80 in March?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 3.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Solana dip to $80 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473204

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Correlated Markets

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Event Cluster

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