Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?

Data as of Mar 28, 2026, 04:10 AM UTC

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

89%YES

11%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

61% / 61%

Spread

0.70pp

Expert Signal

61%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 28?

March

Full event →

22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+13.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Trough probability

44% YES — lowest in period

Mar 27, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: +33.5pp

51% → 85%

Mar 22, 2026

Peak probability

96% YES — highest in period

Mar 26, 2026

Current

63% YES (+6.8pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 89%99%

Buy YES@ 89¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 11¢

Edge

+3.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO—+3.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1673000