LIVE

API For Journalists

Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 07:14 AM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES

1%NO

Volume 24h

$44K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

99% / 99%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.8pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

March

above $1,800 on March 22?

above $1,700 on March 22?

above $1,600 on March 22?

above $1,900 on March 22?

above $2,000 on March 22?

99%

above $2,100 on March 22?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

$2,600 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?

above $2,200 on March 22?

$2,800 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?

$3,000 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?

$3,200 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?

$4,000 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

$3,800 in March?

$3,600 in March?

$3,400 in March?

above $2,400 on March 22?

Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?

Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?

greater than $2,500 on March 22?

$2,600 March 16-22?

$2,700 March 16-22?

$2,500 March 16-22?

less than $1,600 on March 22?

$2,800 March 16-22?

$2,900 March 16-22?

above $2,600 on March 22?

above $2,500 on March 22?

34 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Price History

+24.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

74% YES

Mar 15, 2026

Biggest move: +12.5pp

76% → 88%

Mar 16, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 21, 2026

Current

98% YES (-0.2pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

%

1%Market: YES 99%99%

Buy YES@ 99¢

Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly16.7%

½ Kelly8.3%

Buy NO@ 1¢

-16.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 16.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598700

Go Deeper

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.

Event Cluster

All markets about the same event across venues.

Download 90d CSV

Full price history for your own analysis.